Trump Tariffs Trigger RBI Shift in US Debt Strategy
With forex reserves hitting new highs in 2025, RBI’s cutback in US treasury exposure and shift to gold reflects cautious reserve management amid global uncertainty.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has embarked on a strategic recalibration of its foreign exchange reserves, trimming its holdings in U.S. Treasury bills while significantly bolstering gold reserves—a move that underscores its prudent stance amid escalating global financial instability.
Dwindling U.S. Treasury Holdings
Data from the U.S. Treasury shows that India's investment in U.S. Treasury securities peaked at $247.2 billion in September 2024 but declined gradually to $219.1 billion by December 2024. As of June 2025, these holdings stood at approximately $227 billion, down from $242 billion a year earlier, reflecting a measured divestment strategy.
Strategic Shift Toward Gold Reserves
Concurrently, the RBI has ramped up its gold reserves—now over 880 metric tonnes, up from around 842 tonnes last year—signaling a renewed commitment to asset diversification.
Foreign Exchange Reserves Climb Despite Volatility
India's total foreign exchange reserves have surged to over $694 billion as of late August 2025, fueled in part by increased gold holdings and an improved reserve position with the IMF.
Tariffs Trigger Reserve Strategy Rebalance
This realignment in reserve portfolio comes amid rising geopolitical tensions. In anticipation of President Trump’s imposition of 50% tariffs on Indian imports, offloading risk-prone assets like U.S. Treasuries while investing in gold—seen as a counterparty-free and stable asset—may help shield India from potential economic fallout. Moreover, recent history illustrates that in exceptional scenarios, access to dollar-denominated reserves can be restricted or frozen.
Global Context of Diversification
India’s cautious pivot aligns with a broader global trend. Central banks from economies like China and Brazil are also reducing dollar-denominated holdings in favor of gold and other sovereign securities. Such diversification aims to minimize exposure to USD volatility and geopolitical shocks.
